Model: TipTromba35H
Adelaide United NPL – Adelaide City
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.36
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 13, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 5d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Adelaide United NPL | Adelaide City |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-D-W-W | D-W-W-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-W-L-W (home) | D-W-D-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded | 0.40 scored / 0.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.80 for / 2.40 against | 4.40 for / 3.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.60 for / 3.60 against (home) | 2.60 for / 3.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 37.6%
7D: 0.7%
15D: 1.9%
30D: 15.6%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.43First seen
Current3.36Now
Max odds3.80Highest point
Min odds2.43Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Adelaide United NPL – Adelaide City Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.36. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.14% across 423 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample97
Win Rate29.9%
Profit-0.72u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Mogi Mirim U23 - Santacruzense U23 | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Bonsucesso FC - Resende RJ | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Kumu - KoPa | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Lettir Reykjavik - Kria | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Uttaradit FC - Nara United | 3.40 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | CD Esperanza - Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | 3.40 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Dangjin Citizen FC - Changwon City | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Haiti - Peru | 3.11 | 3.85% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Bratislava B - AS Trencin | 1 | 3.20 | 3.85% | 20 Jun 17:00 |
| Inter Miami CF II - Carolina Core FC | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 20 Jun 22:00 |
| Kingborough Lions - South Hobart | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 21 Jun 05:15 |
Pick
1 @ 3.36
Kickoff
Giu 13, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.14% • n=423
Start
Started 5d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 5d 23h ago