Adelaide United NPL – Adelaide City

Model: TipTromba35H

Adelaide United NPL vs Adelaide City

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.36
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 13, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 53d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 53d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Adelaide United NPL. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Adelaide United NPLGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.43First seen
Current3.36Now
Max odds3.80Highest point
Min odds2.43Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Adelaide United NPLHOME
VS
Adelaide CityAWAY
DLDWW
Recent form
DWWDD
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
0.60
0.80
Shots on target for
4.80
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
3.60
Home splitD-D-W-L-W1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-W-D-L-L0.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.36. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia South Australia Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.36
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 37.6% 7D: 0.7% 15D: 1.9% 30D: 15.6%
Model insight

Adelaide United NPL – Adelaide City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.36. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.14% across 423 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample140
Win Rate27.1%
Profit-13.74u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSOlaria AC - Nova Iguacu3.203.85%
WINLa Nucia - CF Intercity3.403.56%
LOSSMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa - MS Ashdod3.304.14%
WINHartlepool - Fleetwood Town3.334.14%
WINFeyenoord - Atalanta3.304.14%
WINAthletic Bilbao B - Cultural Leonesa3.254.14%
LOSSItabirito U20 - Athletic Club MG U203.404.14%
LOSSColeraine - HJK Helsinki3.403.56%
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Pick
1 @ 3.36
Kickoff
Giu 13, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.14% • n=423
Start
Started 53d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 53d 20h ago
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