Samger FC – Gambia Ports Authority

Model: TipTromba5H

Samger FC vs Gambia Ports Authority

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 23, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 89d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.71% · n=106
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.71% · n=106
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 89d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Samger FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Samger FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

58/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.50First seen
Current4.50Now
Max odds4.67Highest point
Min odds4.50Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Samger FCHOME
VS
Gambia Ports AuthorityAWAY
DDWL
Recent form
DLD
Avg goals scored
0.50
0.33
Defensive weakness
0.50
0.67
Shots on target for
2.00
2.33
SoT conceded pressure
1.00
3.67
Home splitD-L0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D0.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.71% based on n=106 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Gambia FF Cup (gm). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.71% · n=106
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.71% · n=106
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 11.8% 7D: 1.1% 15D: 24.1% 30D: 18.5%
Model insight

Samger FC – Gambia Ports Authority Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.71% and 3.71%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample29
Win Rate13.8%
Profit-10.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINTruro City - Exeter4.504.05%
WINBoreham Wood - Watford4.753.53%
LOSSSutton Coldfield - Leamington4.504.05%
LOSSPinda FC U20 - Taubate U204.504.05%
WINBangkok (W) - Chonburi FA (W)4.504.05%
LOSSBoston City FC - Boston Bolts4.504.05%
LOSSInternacional de Bogota (W) - America de Cali (W)4.504.05%
LOSSHubei Istar U20 - Shanghai Shenhua U204.753.53%
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Apr 23, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.71% • n=106
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.71% • n=106
Start
Started 89d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 89d 15h ago
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