Model: TIPPSH

San Marcos De Arica vs Deportes Limache

PREDICTION

@ 3.36

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 20, 2026 4:00 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 3

StartStarted 44d 2h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.88% · n=230

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 44d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is San Marcos De Arica. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: San Marcos De AricaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.63First seen

Current3.25Now

Max odds3.25Highest point

Min odds2.63Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

San Marcos De AricaHOME

Deportes LimacheAWAY

LLLWD

Recent form

WLLLL

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.40

Shots on target for

3.60

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

4.80

Home splitL-L-D-W-W1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L-D2.00 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.36. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.88% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Cup (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.36

V2 BandNONEROI -1.88% · n=230

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 1.3% 7D: -10.2% 15D: -8.6% 30D: 8.6%

Model insight

San Marcos De Arica – Deportes Limache Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.36. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.88% across 230 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample10

Win Rate30.0%

Profit-0.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Charleroi - Rayo Vallecano	3.26	-1.88%
WIN	UCD - Cork City	3.11	-2.37%
LOSS	Hume City - Oakleigh Cannons	3.27	-1.88%
LOSS	Rio Barra FC - Tigres do Brasil	3.34	-1.88%
WIN	Benfica Macau - Macau Chiba FC	3.27	-1.88%
LOSS	Wuxi Wugo - Qingdao Hainiu	3.60	-1.88%
LOSS	Suva FC - Lautoka FC	3.15	-2.37%
WIN	VPS Vaasa - HJK Helsinki	3.32	-1.88%

Pick

1 @ 3.36

Kickoff

Giu 20, 2026 4:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.88% • n=230

Start

Started 44d 2h ago

Updated

Updated 44d 4h ago