Santiago Wanderers – Puerto Montt

Model: TipA1

Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto Montt

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.50
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 5h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.74% · n=189
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6h 30m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Puerto Montt. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Puerto MonttGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.015 | A: 0.027

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.52First seen
Current3.53Now
Max odds3.53Highest point
Min odds3.51Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Santiago WanderersHOME
VS
Puerto MonttAWAY
DDLWW
Recent form
LDWWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.00
Shots on target for
3.60
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
4.80
Home splitD-L-W-L-D1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-W-L0.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.74% based on n=189 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Primera B (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.50
V2 BandNONEROI -3.74% · n=189
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -20.7% 7D: 0.0% 15D: 15.8% 30D: 10.4%
Model insight

Santiago Wanderers – Puerto Montt Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.74% across 189 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate13.9%
Profit-18.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSUnion Santa Fe - Lanus3.60-3.74%
LOSSOriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosi3.50-3.74%
LOSSHapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Petah Tikva3.40-0.53%
LOSSRemo - Vitoria3.30-0.53%
LOSSTuggeranong Utd - Belconnen United3.50-3.74%
LOSSRKC Third Coast - Chicago Dutch Lions3.30-3.74%
LOSSBreidablik/Augnablik U19 - HK/Ymir Kopavogur U193.60-3.74%
LOSSSJK Akatemia II - FC Vaajakoski3.60-0.53%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Gornik Polkowice - Miedz Legnica II23.60-3.74%14 Aug 17:00
Pick
2 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.74% • n=189
Start
Starts in 2d 5h
Updated
Updated 6h 30m ago
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