Model: TipTromba6H
Sao Domingos AL – Desportivo Alianca AL U23
PREDICTION
1
@ 5.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 6
StartStarted 30d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.63% · n=103
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.63% · n=103
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sao Domingos AL | Desportivo Alianca AL U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D-L | W-L-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.50 | 2.25 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| Home/Away form | L-D (home) | W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded | 3.50 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 8.00 for / 11.00 against | 6.50 for / 8.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 8.00 for / 11.00 against (home) | 11.00 for / 8.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Sao Domingos AL has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current5.25Now
Max odds5.25Highest point
Min odds2.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Sao Domingos AL – Desportivo Alianca AL U23 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.25. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.63% and 3.63%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample29
Win Rate20.7%
Profit+1.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | HPS (W) - HJK (W) | 5.50 | 3.63% |
| WIN | Erdi VSE - Kaposvari Rakoczi | 5.00 | 4.81% |
| WIN | Universitario De Vinto - Bolivar | 5.25 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | Vevey Sports 05 - FC Bulle | 5.50 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | Box Hill United - Brunswick Juventus | 5.00 | 4.81% |
| LOSS | Municipal Perez Zeledon U21 - Alajuelense U21 | 5.00 | 4.81% |
| LOSS | FC Prague (W) - Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W) | 5.50 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | PSG (W) - Lyon (W) | 5.50 | 3.29% |
Pick
1 @ 5.25
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.63% • n=103
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.63% • n=103
Start
Started 30d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 11h ago