Model: TipTromba45H

Sarpsborg 2 vs Rade IL

PREDICTION

@ 4.20

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 31, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 2

StartStarted 1h 19m ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=160

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=160

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sarpsborg 2. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sarpsborg 2Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.082 | A: 0.205

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sarpsborg 2HOME

Rade ILAWAY

WLWDL

Recent form

LLWDW

Avg goals scored

3.60

3.00

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.80

Shots on target for

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

4.00

Home splitW-W-L-W-L3.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-W-W2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of 0.00% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 3 Group 6 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.20

V2 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=160

V4 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=160

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 2.7% 7D: 6.0% 15D: 14.4% 30D: 7.4%

Model insight

Sarpsborg 2 – Rade IL Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.00% and 0.00%. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample28

Win Rate25.0%

Profit+0.73u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Charleroi II - RAEC Mons	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	ZFK Spartak Subotica (W) - Brondby (W)	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Club Oriental Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves	4.20	0.00%
WIN	Abo Qir Semad - National Bank	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval - Nacional Asuncion	4.10	0.00%
LOSS	HPS/FC POHU YJ U21 - Atlantis U21	4.00	0.00%
WIN	UD Tomares - Betis Deportivo	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	CA Brown de Adrogue U20 - Arsenal de Sarandi U20	4.20	0.00%

Pick

1 @ 4.20

Kickoff

Ago 31, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.00% • n=160

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

0.00% • n=160

Start

Started 1h 19m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 5h ago