SC Freiburg vs Crystal Palace
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Crystal Palace. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Crystal PalaceGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.095 | A: -0.147Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.36% based on n=530 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price.
SC Freiburg – Crystal Palace Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Bamber Bridge - Avro FC | 2.50 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | IK Franke - Enskede IK | 2.30 | 6.36% |
| WIN | Baglan Dragons - Pure Swansea | 2.38 | 6.36% |
| WIN | Perolas Negras (W) - 3B Sport AM (W) | 2.25 | 7.37% |
| WIN | Denbigh Town - Bangor 1876 FC | 2.50 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | Bodens BK FF - Täfteå IK | 2.25 | 7.37% |
| WIN | JK Nomme United II - FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 2.30 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | FK Loko Praha - Dukla Praha B | 2.60 | 6.36% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Buxoro - AGMK | 2 | 2.55 | 6.36% | 13 Aug 17:30 |
| JK Nomme United - JK Tammeka Tartu | 2 | 2.55 | 6.67% | 14 Aug 18:00 |