Model: TIPPSH

Tombense MG vs CRAC

PREDICTION

@ 1.73

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 28, 2026 1:00 AM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 2h 47m ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4h 57m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tombense MG. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tombense MG

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

4/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.73First seen

Current1.73Now

Max odds1.84Highest point

Min odds1.73Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tombense MGHOME

CRACAWAY

LDWDW

Recent form

WDLDW

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

Shots on target for

3.40

1.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

3.80

Home splitD-D-W-D-D1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-L-L0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.73

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Tombense MG has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -11.6% 7D: -19.1% 15D: -8.8% 30D: -4.7%

Model insight

Tombense MG – CRAC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.73. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample175

Win Rate57.1%

Profit-7.19u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Elimai Semey - FK Kyzylzhar	1.72	-10.11%
LOSS	Motala AIF FK - Vanersborgs FK	1.63	-7.35%
WIN	Velez Sarsfield U20 - Colon U20	1.64	-7.35%
WIN	Botev Plovdiv - KF Ballkani	1.68	-6.04%
LOSS	Madla - Mandalskameratene	1.68	-9.21%
LOSS	Shamrock Rovers (W) - Wexford Youths (W)	1.69	-7.35%
WIN	Capital CF - Aparecidense	1.71	-9.21%
WIN	Talleres Remedios - Defensores Unidos	1.65	-4.66%

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Stjørdals/Blink - Junkeren	1	1.74	-4.66%	28 Jun 15:00
New York Red Bulls II - Philadelphia Union II	1	1.71	-9.21%	29 Jun 01:00
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Pick

1 @ 1.73

Kickoff

Giu 28, 2026 1:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Started 2h 47m ago

Updated

Updated 4h 57m ago