Model: TipA1

Sestri Levante vs Ligorna

PREDICTION

@ 2.40

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 30, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 19h 14m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ligorna. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LigornaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.075 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.42First seen

Current2.42Now

Max odds2.42Highest point

Min odds2.42Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sestri LevanteHOME

LigornaAWAY

DLDLL

Recent form

DWWWD

Avg goals scored

0.60

3.40

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.20

Shots on target for

2.80

4.25

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

2.50

Home splitD-L-L-L-W1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitD-D-D0.67 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.40. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.02% based on n=648 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie D Cup (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.40

V2 BandLOWROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Ligorna. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Ligorna's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -13.6% 7D: 6.7% 15D: 12.6% 30D: 8.8%

Model insight

Sestri Levante – Ligorna Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.40. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.02% across 648 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample153

Win Rate44.4%

Profit+10.92u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Aberdeen (W) - Partick Thistle (W)	2.40	1.02%
LOSS	NK Podvinci - NK Hajdina	2.45	1.02%
WIN	J-Lease FC - Honda FC	2.40	1.02%
LOSS	Veszprem FC - Györi ETO II	2.30	1.02%
WIN	Portland Hearts of Pine - Fort Wayne FC	2.40	1.02%
WIN	UD Ourense - Ponferradina	2.50	1.02%
LOSS	Ferroviaria (W) - Sao Paulo (W)	2.45	1.02%
WIN	Lion City Sailors FC U23 - Tanjong Pagar United U23	2.25	1.02%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Southport - Hereford FC	2	2.63	1.02%	31 Aug 16:00
Bishop's Stortford - Hitchin	2	2.60	1.02%	31 Aug 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.40

Kickoff

Ago 30, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.02% • n=648

Start

Started 19h 14m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 8h ago