Criciuma U20 – Palmeiras U20

Model: TIPPSH

Criciuma U20 vs Palmeiras U20

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 16, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 6
StartStarted 47d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.11% · n=16
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.11% · n=16
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Criciuma U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Criciuma U20Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.20First seen
Current4.76Now
Max odds4.76Highest point
Min odds4.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Criciuma U20HOME
VS
Palmeiras U20AWAY
LWLWW
Recent form
WWDWW
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
0.60
Shots on target for
6.40
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
3.20
Home splitL-W-D-D-W1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-W2.80 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.11% based on n=16 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.11% · n=16
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.11% · n=16
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Criciuma U20 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -1.6% 7D: 3.8% 15D: -5.1% 30D: 10.8%
Model insight

Criciuma U20 – Palmeiras U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.11% and 4.11%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample1
Win Rate100.0%
Profit+3.26u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAberdeen - Hearts4.264.11%
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Giu 16, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.11% • n=16
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.11% • n=16
Start
Started 47d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 14h ago
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