Model: TIPPSA

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Dalian Young Boy

PREDICTION

@ 2.87

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 19, 2026 3:35 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 52d 21h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 52d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dalian Young Boy. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dalian Young Boy

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.75First seen

Current2.87Now

Max odds3.01Highest point

Min odds2.71Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shenzhen XinpengchengHOME

Dalian Young BoyAWAY

DLLDL

Recent form

DLLLW

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

2.00

Shots on target for

2.80

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

4.80

Home splitD-L-W-L-L1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-W-W1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.87. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.96% based on n=166 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Super League (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.87

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.96% · n=166

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Dalian Young Boy has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Dalian Young Boy's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -1.5% 7D: 20.7% 15D: 6.8% 30D: 1.4%

Model insight

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng – Dalian Young Boy Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.87. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample46

Win Rate41.3%

Profit+5.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Fencibles United - East Coast Bays	2.81	4.96%
LOSS	Dodoma Jiji FC - JKT Tanzania	3.05	4.96%
WIN	Santamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre	2.65	4.13%
LOSS	Santamarina Tandil - Kimberley Mar del Plata	3.01	4.96%
LOSS	Deportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers	2.92	4.96%
WIN	New Zealand (W) - Haiti (W)	2.86	4.96%
WIN	Maldives - Afghanistan	2.63	4.13%
LOSS	Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua	2.91	4.96%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30

Pick

2 @ 2.87

Kickoff

Mag 19, 2026 3:35 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166

Start

Started 52d 21h ago

Updated

Updated 52d 23h ago