Numancia vs Real Zaragoza
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Numancia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: NumanciaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.064 | A: 0.166Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.75. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.56% based on n=52 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.
Numancia – Real Zaragoza Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | CA Timbuense - Newell's | 3.75 | 5.87% |
| WIN | CD Estradense - Coruxo | 3.90 | 5.87% |
| LOSS | Sestri Levante - FC Vado | 3.90 | 5.56% |
| LOSS | Bjelovar - NK Krizevci | 3.79 | 5.87% |
| LOSS | FK Zalgiris Vilnius - Hajduk Split | 3.52 | 7.69% |
| LOSS | FK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 3.94 | 5.87% |
| LOSS | Lyn 1896 U19 - Molde U19 | 3.90 | 5.87% |
| WIN | HUSA Agadir - RSB Berkane | 3.82 | 5.87% |