Sol de Mayo – Club Villa Mitre

Model: TIPPSA

Sol de Mayo vs Club Villa Mitre

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 26, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 3
StartStarted 1h 25m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.59% · n=214
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 29m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Club Villa Mitre. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Club Villa MitreGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.147 | A: 0.182

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

40/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.23First seen
Current2.30Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds2.23Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sol de MayoHOME
VS
Club Villa MitreAWAY
DLLWD
Recent form
DWDWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.60
Shots on target for
2.80
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
2.20
Home splitD-L-D-W-D1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitD-D-W-D-L1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.26. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.59% based on n=214 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Torneo A (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.26
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.59% · n=214
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Club Villa Mitre. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Club Villa Mitre is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -20.6% 7D: 1.0% 15D: 9.1% 30D: 20.0%
Model insight

Sol de Mayo – Club Villa Mitre Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.59% across 214 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample162
Win Rate42.6%
Profit-6.98u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion2.473.59%
LOSSAltona City - Whittlesea United2.022.63%
WINCobh Ramblers - Bray Wanderers2.273.43%
LOSSAustin FC - Seattle Sounders2.303.43%
WINShanghai Segenda - Shandong Taishan Reserves2.132.63%
WINLipno Steszew - Unia Swarzedz2.444.13%
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
Pick
2 @ 2.26
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.59% • n=214
Start
Started 1h 25m ago
Updated
Updated 3h 29m ago
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