Sorrento U23 – Bayswater City U23

Model: TipA1

Sorrento U23 vs Bayswater City U23

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 0
StartStarted 43d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 43d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bayswater City U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bayswater City U23

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

12/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current2.25Now
Max odds2.32Highest point
Min odds1.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sorrento U23HOME
VS
Bayswater City U23AWAY
WLDDL
Recent form
LWLLW
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.80
2.80
Shots on target for
6.00
7.20
SoT conceded pressure
13.80
7.60
Home splitW-L-D-W-W2.00 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-W1.75 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Western Australia U23 League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.10
V2 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318
V4 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Bayswater City U23 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 7.5% 7D: 31.1% 15D: 23.9% 30D: 7.8%
Model insight

Sorrento U23 – Bayswater City U23 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.85% and -3.85%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample159
Win Rate50.3%
Profit+7.35u
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WINSt. James Swifts (W) - Sion Swifts (W)2.05-3.85%
LOSSHolland Park Hawks U23 - North Star U232.10-3.85%
WINOsasco Sporting U20 - Ibrachina U202.00-1.48%
LOSSSelfoss/Arborg U19 - Grotta/Kria U192.10-1.48%
LOSSPonte Preta U20 - Santos U202.10-1.48%
LOSSFC Honka (W) - EBK (W)2.05-3.85%
LOSSRockdale Ilinden FC U20 - NWS Spirit FC U202.10-3.85%
Active Similar Predictions
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Pick
2 @ 2.10
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.85% • n=318
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.85% • n=318
Start
Started 43d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 43d 21h ago
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