Model: TipTromba2H

South Hobart vs Devonport City

PREDICTION

@ 1.75

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 05, 2026 7:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 23h

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.35% · n=470

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.35% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is South Hobart. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: South HobartGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.100 | A: 0.207

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

47/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.91First seen

Current1.76Now

Max odds1.91Highest point

Min odds1.76Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

South HobartHOME

Devonport CityAWAY

WLWWW

Recent form

WWWWW

Avg goals scored

3.00

3.80

Defensive weakness

1.80

0.40

Shots on target for

8.20

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

1.80

4.00

Home splitW-L-W-W-W2.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-L-W3.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.75. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.35% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Tasmania Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.75

V2 BandHIGHROI 7.35% · n=470

V4 BandHIGHROI 7.35% · n=470

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to South Hobart's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -39.9% 7D: -10.5% 15D: 12.8% 30D: 4.1%

Model insight

South Hobart – Devonport City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.35% and 7.35%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample362

Win Rate60.5%

Profit+30.05u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Mafunzo FC - Kipanga FC	1.95	7.35%
LOSS	Sassuolo - Frosinone	1.90	7.35%
WIN	Åsane Fotball 2 - Sogndal 2	1.53	6.49%
LOSS	Chester - Morecambe	1.95	7.35%
WIN	Dinamo Batumi - FC Spaeri	1.83	7.35%
WIN	Tampines Rovers FC U23 - Lion City Sailors FC U23	1.50	7.81%
LOSS	Northampton - Crawley Town	1.75	6.89%
WIN	CA Independiente CBBA - CD Mineros Potosi	1.83	7.35%

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Pick

1 @ 1.75

Kickoff

Set 05, 2026 7:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 7.35% • n=470

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

7.35% • n=470

Start

Starts in 1d 23h

Updated

Updated 11m ago