Model: TIPPSA
Spartak Varna – PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.42
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 06, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 20d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 20d 14h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Spartak Varna | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-D-W | D-L-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-W (home) | D-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.33 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.20 for / 7.20 against | 3.20 for / 3.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 8.67 against (home) | 4.67 for / 3.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.42Now
Max odds2.53Highest point
Min odds2.22Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Spartak Varna – PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.42. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample143
Win Rate38.5%
Profit-10.27u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.42
Kickoff
Mag 06, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 20d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 20d 14h ago