Spartak Varna – PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

Model: TIPPSA

Spartak Varna vs PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 06, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 90d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 90d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PFC Dobrudzha DobrichGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.31First seen
Current2.30Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Spartak VarnaHOME
VS
PFC Dobrudzha DobrichAWAY
DLLDW
Recent form
DLLLL
Avg goals scored
0.80
0.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.80
Shots on target for
3.20
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
7.20
3.60
Home splitD-L-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-L0.33 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.58% based on n=409 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria First League (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.20
V2 BandLOWROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -22.3% 7D: -17.6% 15D: -2.4% 30D: 8.4%
Model insight

Spartak Varna – PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample119
Win Rate51.3%
Profit+11.79u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSLarne FC - FC Iberia 19992.231.76%
LOSSWexford FC - Bray Wanderers2.280.84%
WINBrommapojkarna - Malmo FF2.081.21%
LOSSEstrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh2.231.21%
LOSSFK Ekranas - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II2.370.84%
LOSSCarina Gubin - Miedz Legnica II2.191.21%
WINSandviken - Kvik Halden FK2.330.84%
WINCoritiba - Cruzeiro2.340.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Mag 06, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Start
Started 90d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 90d 16h ago
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