Model: TIPPSA
Spartak Varna – Slavia Sofia
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 3:15 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 16d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=186
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.14% · n=68
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 16d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Spartak Varna | Slavia Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-L-D | L-W-L-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-L-W (home) | L-L-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.20 for / 7.00 against | 4.00 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.50 for / 7.25 against (home) | 4.25 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.13First seen
Current3.85Now
Max odds4.26Highest point
Min odds2.13Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Spartak Varna – Slavia Sofia Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 186 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 7.14% across 68 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample33
Win Rate18.2%
Profit-11.97u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders | 3.65 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Grasshoppers - Aarau | 3.58 | 3.84% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | FC Inter II - KUPS Akatemia | 3.70 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Iwaki FC - Matsumoto Y FC | 3.40 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Cobh Ramblers - Athlone Town | 3.59 | 3.04% |
| WIN | FK Austria Vienna II - SV Kapfenberg | 3.35 | 2.94% |
Pick
2 @ 3.60
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 3:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=186
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.14% • n=68
Start
Started 16d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 16d 16h ago