Ituano – Figueirense

Model: TIPPSA

Ituano vs Figueirense

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.81
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 21, 2026 3:30 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 45d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.78% · n=52
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Figueirense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FigueirenseGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

50/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.10First seen
Current4.10Now
Max odds4.10Highest point
Min odds4.10Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ItuanoHOME
VS
FigueirenseAWAY
DDLWW
Recent form
DWWDL
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.60
Shots on target for
4.60
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
3.20
Home splitD-W-W-W-L1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitD-W-D-W-L0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.81. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.78% based on n=52 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.81
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.78% · n=52
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -4.2% 7D: -3.2% 15D: -6.4% 30D: 5.7%
Model insight

Ituano – Figueirense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.78% across 52 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample32
Win Rate9.4%
Profit-20.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFC Viktoriya Sumy - Kolos Kovalivka II3.684.77%
LOSSCSD Municipal - Cartagines3.852.78%
LOSSRosario Central - Racing Club3.803.92%
LOSSClub Atletico Libertad - Delfin SC3.694.77%
LOSSOstersunds FK - Landskrona BoIS3.604.77%
LOSSSarpsborg 08 U19 - KFUM U193.893.99%
LOSSUSA - Paraguay3.973.92%
LOSSAskoe Oedt - Deutschlandsberger SC4.042.78%
Pick
2 @ 3.81
Kickoff
Giu 21, 2026 3:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.78% • n=52
Start
Started 45d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 1h ago
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