Model: TipA1

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza

PREDICTION

@ 3.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 28, 2026 4:30 AM

ResultWIN0 - 2

StartStarted 44d 10h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.48% · n=403

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Fortaleza. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Fortaleza

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sport RecifeHOME

FortalezaAWAY

LWWLW

Recent form

WWLLD

Avg goals scored

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

0.80

Shots on target for

2.60

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

3.00

Home splitL-L-W-W-W1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-D-W1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.48% based on n=403 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Nordeste (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.00

V2 BandLOWROI 0.48% · n=403

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Fortaleza has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 50.2% 7D: 33.9% 15D: 26.6% 30D: 9.5%

Model insight

Sport Recife – Fortaleza Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.48% across 403 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample57

Win Rate31.6%

Profit-2.81u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Anderlecht - NEC	2.88	0.48%
WIN	Real Pilar U20 - Argentino Merlo U20	3.00	0.48%
LOSS	Dalvik/Reynir - Fjardabyggd	2.80	0.48%
WIN	Juazeirense - Serra Branca EC	3.25	1.91%
WIN	Huachipato - Deportes Concepcion	3.10	0.48%
LOSS	JK Viljandi Tulevik - JK Tammeka Tartu II	2.90	0.48%
WIN	Maranhao - Paysandu	2.90	0.48%
WIN	Brunswick Juventus - Bulleen Lions	3.10	0.48%

Pick

2 @ 3.00

Kickoff

Mag 28, 2026 4:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.48% • n=403

Start

Started 44d 10h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 11h ago