Model: TIPPSH

Sporting Kansas City II vs Minnesota United FC II

PREDICTION

@ 3.01

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 20, 2026 4:00 AM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 44d 23h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.96% · n=84

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.96% · n=84

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sporting Kansas City II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sporting Kansas City IIGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

63/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.56First seen

Current3.26Now

Max odds3.92Highest point

Min odds3.20Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sporting Kansas City IIHOME

Minnesota United FC IIAWAY

WLLLW

Recent form

LWLDL

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.00

Defensive weakness

2.60

2.00

Shots on target for

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

9.00

Home splitW-L-L-D-L0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-L-L0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.01. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.96% based on n=84 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.01

V2 BandHIGHROI 7.96% · n=84

V4 BandHIGHROI 7.96% · n=84

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 34.1% 7D: 13.7% 15D: 12.1% 30D: 18.9%

Model insight

Sporting Kansas City II – Minnesota United FC II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.96% and 7.96%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample10

Win Rate20.0%

Profit-4.03u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Skenderbeu Korce - FC Dinamo City	3.25	7.69%
LOSS	Deportivo Riestra - Velez Sarsfield	3.10	7.96%
WIN	Fatima - AT Malveira	2.80	7.96%
LOSS	KF Fjallabyggd - Tindastoll	2.83	7.96%
LOSS	FC Kudrivka - Obolon Kyiv	2.90	7.96%
LOSS	MFK Zvolen - FC Tatran Presov	3.00	7.96%
LOSS	Athlone Town - UCD	2.82	7.96%
LOSS	Paraguay - Australia	2.91	7.96%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FC Emmen - FC Volendam	1	2.90	7.96%	04 Sep 20:00

Pick

1 @ 3.01

Kickoff

Lug 20, 2026 4:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 7.96% • n=84

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

7.96% • n=84

Start

Started 44d 23h ago

Updated

Updated 45d 1h ago