Seattle Sounders vs Austin FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Austin FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Austin FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.060 | A: 0.110Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.75. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.58% based on n=86 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Austin FC shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Austin FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Seattle Sounders – Austin FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Monori SE - FC Dabas | 5.00 | 3.58% |
| WIN | Tiszafured VSE - Ozd Sajovolgye | 5.00 | 3.58% |
| LOSS | Independiente Santa Fe - Union Magdalena | 5.00 | 5.00% |
| LOSS | Alianza Universidad - Sport Huancayo II | 5.00 | 3.58% |
| WIN | Montpellier - Cannes | 5.00 | 5.00% |
| LOSS | FC Dordrecht - Borussia Dortmund II | 4.75 | 3.58% |
| LOSS | Grazer AK - SV Kapfenberg | 4.75 | 3.58% |
| LOSS | Metz - Versailles 78 | 5.00 | 5.00% |