Model: TipA1
St George City FA – Sutherland Sharks
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 1:15 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 32d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.57% · n=364
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 34d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | St George City FA | Sutherland Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-L-D | L-L-L-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-L-D (home) | L-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 2.25 conceded | 0.75 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.60 for / 6.80 against | 3.00 for / 5.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.75 for / 8.50 against (home) | 3.00 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Sutherland Sharks. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -17.3%
7D: -16.2%
15D: -2.8%
30D: 8.3%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.50Now
Max odds2.50Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
St George City FA – Sutherland Sharks Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.39% across 969 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.57% across 364 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample148
Win Rate40.5%
Profit-0.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SK Treibach - SVG Bleiburg | 2.60 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) - Loveledge Nagoya (W) | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Perth SC U23 - Stirling Macedonia U23 | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Blaublitz Akita - Kagoshima United | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Bentleigh Greens - Hume City | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Fenix Reserves - Lujan Reserves | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | General Velásquez - Colchagua CD | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Reipas - Atlantis | 2.70 | 4.27% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoPa - GrIFK Reservi | 2 | 2.50 | 4.27% | 12 Jun 17:30 |
| Sutherland Sharks U20 - Blacktown City U20 | 2 | 2.60 | 4.27% | 13 Jun 11:45 |
Pick
2 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 1:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.39% • n=969
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.57% • n=364
Start
Started 32d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 34d 9h ago