Model: TipTromba3H

St Michael vs Saint Louis Suns United

PREDICTION

@ 2.70

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 23, 2026 6:30 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 2

StartStarted 79d ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.23% · n=188

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 79d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is St Michael. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: St Michael

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

47/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.77First seen

Current2.74Now

Max odds2.77Highest point

Min odds2.74Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

St MichaelHOME

Saint Louis Suns UnitedAWAY

Recent form

Avg goals scored

0.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

2.50

0.50

Shots on target for

6.00

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

6.50

3.50

Home splitL0.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW2.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.70. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.23% based on n=188 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Seychelles Premier League (sc). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.70

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.23% · n=188

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. St Michael is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 6.5% 7D: -4.3% 15D: 20.7% 30D: 17.3%

Model insight

St Michael – Saint Louis Suns United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.23% across 188 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample139

Win Rate37.4%

Profit-0.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Moreland City SC - Springvale White Eagles	2.90	4.49%
WIN	Vasas SC - Kisvarda FC	2.60	2.55%
LOSS	Sacachispas U20 - Defensores de Glew U20	2.55	2.55%
LOSS	Unia Skierniewice - Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2.50	2.55%
WIN	Central Espanol Reserves - La Luz Reserves	2.80	4.49%
WIN	Ehime FC (W) - Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	2.75	4.49%
LOSS	Assisense U23 - Matonense U23	2.90	4.49%
WIN	Polissya Zhytomyr - CSKA Sofia	2.75	4.49%

Pick

1 @ 2.70

Kickoff

Apr 23, 2026 6:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.23% • n=188

Start

Started 79d ago

Updated

Updated 79d 11h ago