Model: TipTromba3H
St Michael – Saint Louis Suns United
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 23, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 33d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.23% · n=188
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d 17h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | St Michael | Saint Louis Suns United |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L | W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.50 | 0.50 |
| Home/Away form | L (home) | W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.00 scored / 2.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.00 for / 6.50 against | 4.00 for / 3.50 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 5.00 against (home) | 5.00 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to St Michael's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.77First seen
Current2.74Now
Max odds2.77Highest point
Min odds2.74Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
St Michael – Saint Louis Suns United Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.23% across 188 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample118
Win Rate38.1%
Profit+1.65u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Armenio - Argentino Merlo | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Azuriz FC - Blumenau EC | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Laferrere - Atletico Camioneros | 2.60 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Oyonesa - Varea | 2.63 | 2.50% |
| WIN | Al Bataeh U23 - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai U23 | 2.70 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Austin FC II - St Louis City II | 2.55 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Shandong (W) | 2.88 | 4.12% |
| LOSS | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) - Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 2.75 | 4.12% |
Pick
1 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Apr 23, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.23% • n=188
Start
Started 33d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 33d 17h ago