Model: TIPPSA

Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) vs UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)

PREDICTION

@ 5.14

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 2:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 1

StartStarted 1d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.75% · n=60

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=21

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.095 | A: 0.020

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

63/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds7.00First seen

Current5.42Now

Max odds7.15Highest point

Min odds5.42Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Stomilanki Olsztyn (W)HOME

UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)AWAY

WWWLL

Recent form

LDWWL

Avg goals scored

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.00

Shots on target for

4.60

6.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

5.20

Home splitW-W-L-L-L1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-L-D2.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 5.14. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.39% based on n=21 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland League Women (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd5.14

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.75% · n=60

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.39% · n=21

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -29.2% 7D: -9.0% 15D: 6.3% 30D: 5.6%

Model insight

Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) – UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 5.14. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.75% and 4.39%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample5

Win Rate0.0%

Profit-5.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia	5.02	3.75%
LOSS	FCSB - FC Arges Pitesti	5.17	3.75%
LOSS	Palermo - Catanzaro	4.98	3.75%
LOSS	KuPS Kuopio - SJK	4.99	5.00%
LOSS	Ravenna - ASD Pineto Calcio	4.93	5.00%

Pick

2 @ 5.14

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 2:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.75% • n=60

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.39% • n=21

Start

Started 1d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 11h ago