Storfors AIK – Umeå FF

Model: TipA1

Storfors AIK vs Umeå FF

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 4h 25m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17h 39m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Umeå FF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Umeå FFGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.95First seen
Current2.15Now
Max odds2.15Highest point
Min odds1.95Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Storfors AIKHOME
VS
Umeå FFAWAY
DWLLW
Recent form
DWL
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.67
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.67
Shots on target for
3.20
6.67
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
4.00
Home splitD-W-L-L-L1.20 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitD-W3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.48% based on n=691 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 2.div Norrland (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.15
V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Umeå FF's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 4.0% 7D: 14.2% 15D: 4.8% 30D: 10.5%
Model insight

Storfors AIK – Umeå FF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.48% across 691 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample202
Win Rate47.5%
Profit-2.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINNordstrand - Frigg2.00-1.48%
LOSSRedcar Athletic - Bury2.10-3.85%
WINRäppe GOIF - IFK Berga2.05-1.48%
LOSSUnion San Felipe - Deportes Recoleta2.00-3.85%
LOSSSan Francisco Reserves - CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2.00-1.48%
LOSSBelmont Swansea United SC - Lambton Jaffas2.20-1.48%
LOSSTalleres Remedios Reserves - Nueva Chicago Reserves2.20-1.48%
LOSSKuPS Kuopio - CS U Craiova2.15-1.48%
Active Similar Predictions
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Klepp (W) - Fyllingsdalen (W)22.00-1.48%09 Aug 13:00
Pick
2 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=691
Start
Started 4h 25m ago
Updated
Updated 17h 39m ago
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