Tabasalu FC Charma vs Johvi FC Phoenix
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Tabasalu FC Charma. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Tabasalu FC CharmaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.077 | A: -0.040Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.61% based on n=186 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Esiliiga B (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Tabasalu FC Charma's attacking profile.
Tabasalu FC Charma – Johvi FC Phoenix Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Pirin Blagoevgrad - FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Felgueiras 1932 U23 - Braga U23 | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Foggia - Team Altamura | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Tel Aviv | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Baltyk Koszalin - Flota Swinoujscie | 3.08 | 3.85% |
| WIN | FK Novi Pazar - Vojvodina | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Balzan FC - Marsaxlokk FC | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | ASD Seravezza Calcio - Pistoiese | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Concordia Chiajna - Otelul Galati | 1 | 3.25 | 3.56% | 19 Aug 19:30 |