Model: TipTromba3H

Taringa Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior B

PREDICTION

@ 2.60

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 25, 2026 12:00 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 3

StartStarted 86d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.50% · n=493

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 87d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Taringa Rovers. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Taringa RoversGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.60First seen

Current2.60Now

Max odds2.60Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Taringa RoversHOME

Moreton City Excelsior BAWAY

DWLL

Recent form

DLW

Avg goals scored

2.00

2.67

Defensive weakness

2.25

2.00

Shots on target for

10.00

8.33

SoT conceded pressure

7.33

Home splitD-L2.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Away splitD3.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.60. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.50% based on n=493 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League 2 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.60

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.50% · n=493

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Taringa Rovers is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 4.4% 7D: 0.4% 15D: 18.0% 30D: 15.5%

Model insight

Taringa Rovers – Moreton City Excelsior B Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.50% across 493 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample121

Win Rate37.2%

Profit-2.83u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Decic Tuzi - FK Liepaja	2.60	2.55%
WIN	Cristobal Colon JAS - 3 de Noviembre	2.60	2.55%
WIN	Vasas SC - Kisvarda FC	2.60	2.55%
LOSS	Sacachispas U20 - Defensores de Glew U20	2.55	2.55%
LOSS	Unia Skierniewice - Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2.50	2.55%
WIN	Central Espanol Reserves - La Luz Reserves	2.80	4.49%
WIN	Ehime FC (W) - Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	2.75	4.49%
WIN	Polissya Zhytomyr - CSKA Sofia	2.75	4.49%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
South Shields - Harrogate Town	1	2.60	2.55%	21 Jul 20:30
Sydney United 58 - Central Coast Mariners	1	2.50	2.55%	22 Jul 11:30

Pick

1 @ 2.60

Kickoff

Apr 25, 2026 12:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.50% • n=493

Start

Started 86d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 87d 8h ago