Model: TipTromba3H

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kagoshima United

PREDICTION

@ 2.50

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 25, 2026 9:00 AM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 86d 12h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.23% · n=188

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 88d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tegevajaro Miyazaki. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tegevajaro MiyazakiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

45/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.50First seen

Current2.50Now

Max odds2.50Highest point

Min odds2.50Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tegevajaro MiyazakiHOME

Kagoshima UnitedAWAY

WWWW

Recent form

LLWD

Avg goals scored

2.50

1.25

Defensive weakness

0.00

1.25

Shots on target for

4.50

3.75

SoT conceded pressure

0.50

2.75

Home splitW-W2.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Away splitL-L0.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.50. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.23% based on n=188 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J2/J3 Centennial League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.50

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.23% · n=188

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Tegevajaro Miyazaki shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 4.7% 7D: 2.3% 15D: 17.9% 30D: 15.6%

Model insight

Tegevajaro Miyazaki – Kagoshima United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.23% across 188 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample110

Win Rate37.3%

Profit-3.03u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Decic Tuzi - FK Liepaja	2.60	2.55%
WIN	Cristobal Colon JAS - 3 de Noviembre	2.60	2.55%
WIN	Vasas SC - Kisvarda FC	2.60	2.55%
LOSS	Sacachispas U20 - Defensores de Glew U20	2.55	2.55%
LOSS	Unia Skierniewice - Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2.50	2.55%
WIN	Ehime FC (W) - Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	2.75	4.49%
WIN	Polissya Zhytomyr - CSKA Sofia	2.75	4.49%
LOSS	Joy AC (W) - Minnesota Bliss (W)	2.70	2.55%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
South Shields - Harrogate Town	1	2.60	2.55%	21 Jul 20:30
Sydney United 58 - Central Coast Mariners	1	2.50	2.55%	22 Jul 11:30

Pick

1 @ 2.50

Kickoff

Apr 25, 2026 9:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.23% • n=188

Start

Started 86d 12h ago

Updated

Updated 88d 13h ago