Model: TipA1
Arborg – Ellidi
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.25
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 18, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 4h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.63% · n=305
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.70% · n=112
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10h 23m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Arborg | Ellidi |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-W-D-W | W-D-L-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-W (home) | D-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 5.50 scored / 0.00 conceded | 2.67 scored / 1.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.60 for / 5.80 against | 5.40 for / 4.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 8.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 7.00 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -60.8%
7D: -19.2%
15D: -6.1%
30D: 8.0%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.43First seen
Current3.25Now
Max odds3.43Highest point
Min odds3.25Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Arborg – Ellidi Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.63% across 305 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.70% across 112 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample4
Win Rate75.0%
Profit+5.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | We United FC - Sagicor South East FC | 3.30 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Matonense U23 - Sao Carlos U23 | 3.30 | 2.63% |
| WIN | SV Estrella - SV Caiquetio | 3.25 | 2.63% |
| WIN | Chinese Taipei U20 (W) - India (W) U20 | 3.20 | 4.78% |
Pick
2 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Giu 18, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.63% • n=305
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.70% • n=112
Start
Starts in 1d 4h
Updated
Updated 10h 23m ago