TSV Havelse – SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Model: TipA1

TSV Havelse vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.25
StatusUpcoming
KickoffSet 12, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 9h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=441
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.116 | A: -0.080

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.13First seen
Current2.25Now
Max odds2.25Highest point
Min odds2.13Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TSV HavelseHOME
VS
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachAWAY
LWLLL
Recent form
WLDLW
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.20
Shots on target for
2.00
6.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
4.60
Home splitW-L-W-W-W2.60 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-D-W0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.85% based on n=441 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Germany 3. Liga (de). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.85% · n=441
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach a useful statistical edge. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 5.7% 7D: 6.1% 15D: 5.0% 30D: 5.1%
Model insight

TSV Havelse – SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.85% across 441 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample292
Win Rate43.5%
Profit-1.39u
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Pick
2 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Set 12, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.85% • n=441
Start
Starts in 2d 9h
Updated
Updated 1d 11h ago
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