Estrela Amadora U23 vs UD Leiria U23
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Estrela Amadora U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Estrela Amadora U23Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.223 | A: 0.168Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.46. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.15% based on n=323 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal U23 League (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Estrela Amadora U23 – UD Leiria U23 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Hapoel Azor - Tzeirey Tira | 2.41 | 2.49% |
| WIN | NK Brezice - ND Dravinja | 2.27 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Fakenham Town - Ware | 2.69 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Ispe FC - Mahar United | 2.31 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Club Brugge - Aston Villa | 2.62 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Getafe - Celta Vigo | 2.49 | 2.49% |
| WIN | HJK Helsinki - FC Inter | 2.62 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) - Veertien Mie (W) | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maleyat Kafr El Zayat - La Viena FC | 1 | 2.53 | 2.49% | 11 Sep 15:30 |
| Kamaz Nab Chelny - FK Chelyabinsk | 1 | 2.26 | 3.15% | 11 Sep 16:00 |
| Cruz Azul - Club America | 1 | 2.70 | 3.15% | 13 Sep 05:15 |
| Tenerife - Leganes | 1 | 2.36 | 2.49% | 13 Sep 21:00 |
| Atletico GO - Criciuma | 1 | 2.30 | 3.15% | 13 Sep 21:00 |
| Torque - Liverpool Montevideo | 1 | 2.37 | 2.49% | 15 Sep 00:00 |