TuPS vs JäPS/47
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is TuPS. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: TuPSGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.122 | A: 0.111Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. TuPS is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
TuPS – JäPS/47 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FC Tallinn - JK Nomme United II | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Gloria Popesti Leordeni - FC Bacau | 2.45 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Olimpia Elblag - Widzew Lodz II | 2.45 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Sarasota Paradise - Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | FC Grand-Saconnex - FC Schaffhausen | 2.24 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalamata - Panetolikos | 2.45 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Jaguares de Cordoba U19 - Barranquilla FC U19 | 2.42 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Cesar Vallejo Reserves - Juventud Cautivo | 2.11 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northcote City - Brunswick Juventus | 1 | 2.37 | 2.49% | 21 Aug 12:30 |
| PK Keski-Uusimaa - JJK | 1 | 2.31 | 2.49% | 21 Aug 17:30 |
| Vysocina Jihlava - FC Silon Taborsko | 1 | 2.33 | 2.49% | 21 Aug 18:00 |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Shonan Bellmare | 1 | 2.44 | 3.15% | 22 Aug 12:00 |
| SW Bregenz - Sturm Graz II | 1 | 2.10 | 3.37% | 22 Aug 17:30 |
| Miedz Legnica - Arka Gdynia | 1 | 2.25 | 2.49% | 23 Aug 14:30 |
| La Luz - Club Oriental | 1 | 2.45 | 2.49% | 23 Aug 16:00 |
| Lugano - St Gallen | 1 | 2.01 | 3.37% | 23 Aug 16:30 |