TuPS – JäPS/47

Model: TIPPSH

TuPS vs JäPS/47

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 20, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 3h 7m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8h 39m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is TuPS. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: TuPSGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.122 | A: 0.111

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.02First seen
Current2.44Now
Max odds2.44Highest point
Min odds2.02Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TuPSHOME
VS
JäPS/47AWAY
LWLLW
Recent form
WDWWW
Avg goals scored
2.40
3.40
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.20
Shots on target for
9.40
8.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
5.60
Home splitW-L-W-L-W3.80 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-W-W3.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. TuPS is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 67.3% 7D: 4.6% 15D: 3.4% 30D: 4.4%
Model insight

TuPS – JäPS/47 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample260
Win Rate43.5%
Profit-11.41u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFC Tallinn - JK Nomme United II2.302.49%
LOSSGloria Popesti Leordeni - FC Bacau2.452.49%
LOSSOlimpia Elblag - Widzew Lodz II2.452.49%
WINSarasota Paradise - Chattanooga Red Wolves2.282.49%
LOSSFC Grand-Saconnex - FC Schaffhausen2.243.37%
WINKalamata - Panetolikos2.452.49%
LOSSJaguares de Cordoba U19 - Barranquilla FC U192.422.49%
LOSSCesar Vallejo Reserves - Juventud Cautivo2.113.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Northcote City - Brunswick Juventus12.372.49%21 Aug 12:30
PK Keski-Uusimaa - JJK12.312.49%21 Aug 17:30
Vysocina Jihlava - FC Silon Taborsko12.332.49%21 Aug 18:00
Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Shonan Bellmare12.443.15%22 Aug 12:00
SW Bregenz - Sturm Graz II12.103.37%22 Aug 17:30
Miedz Legnica - Arka Gdynia12.252.49%23 Aug 14:30
La Luz - Club Oriental12.452.49%23 Aug 16:00
Lugano - St Gallen12.013.37%23 Aug 16:30
Pick
1 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Ago 20, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 3h 7m ago
Updated
Updated 8h 39m ago
Torna in alto