FC Tallinn – JK Nomme United II

Model: TIPPSH

FC Tallinn vs JK Nomme United II

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 20, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 9h 19m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11h 21m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Tallinn. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC TallinnGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.058 | A: 0.026

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.03First seen
Current2.55Now
Max odds3.16Highest point
Min odds2.48Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC TallinnHOME
VS
JK Nomme United IIAWAY
DLDWW
Recent form
DWLWL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.40
Shots on target for
3.80
6.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
6.80
Home splitD-W-W-L-W2.00 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-L1.60 scored / 3.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Esiliiga (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.20
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 67.9% 7D: 2.3% 15D: 3.7% 30D: 3.9%
Model insight

FC Tallinn – JK Nomme United II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample558
Win Rate47.8%
Profit+12.03u
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LOSSCD Lara - Deportivo Rayo Zuliano2.071.04%
LOSSGimnastica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria1.951.31%
LOSSWisla Plock II - LKS Lomza2.021.04%
WINFK Zhenys - Kaisar Kyzylorda2.201.31%
LOSSMiedz Legnica II - Odra Bytom Odrzanski2.151.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Ago 20, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 9h 19m ago
Updated
Updated 11h 21m ago
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