UCAM Murcia CF – Hercules

Model: TipTromba35H

UCAM Murcia CF vs Hercules

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 01, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 21h 19m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23h 23m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UCAM Murcia CF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UCAM Murcia CFGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.90First seen
Current3.20Now
Max odds3.25Highest point
Min odds2.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UCAM Murcia CFHOME
VS
HerculesAWAY
DLLLW
Recent form
DLDWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
4.60
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
5.80
Home splitD-L-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-L-L0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.20. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.20
V2 BandLOWROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to UCAM Murcia CF's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 30.3% 7D: 10.7% 15D: 10.1% 30D: 9.0%
Model insight

UCAM Murcia CF – Hercules Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.20. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.01% across 821 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample87
Win Rate26.4%
Profit-16.10u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSEspanyol B - UE Sant Andreu3.100.01%
LOSSMansfield - Derby3.100.01%
WINJuarez FC (W) - Pachuca (W)3.000.01%
WINWealdstone - AFC Wimbledon3.100.01%
LOSSFC Levadia Tallinn - IFK Goteborg3.140.01%
LOSSNK Osijek - Caykur Rizespor3.000.01%
WINMatsumoto Y FC - Ventforet Kofu3.100.01%
LOSSCambodia - Singapore3.000.01%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
CA Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Moron13.040.01%02 Aug 21:00
Pick
1 @ 3.20
Kickoff
Ago 01, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.01% • n=821
Start
Started 21h 19m ago
Updated
Updated 23h 23m ago
Torna in alto