UD Leiria – SC Farense

Model: TIPPSH

UD Leiria – SC Farense

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.78
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 3
StartStarted 23d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d 12h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric UD Leiria SC Farense
Last 5 form L-L-W-D-D W-D-W-W-L
Avg goals scored 1.40 1.40
Avg goals conceded 1.80 0.40
Home/Away form L-W-D (home) W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded 2.50 scored / 0.00 conceded
Shots on target 6.00 for / 4.20 against 3.40 for / 4.80 against
Home/Away shots on target 6.33 for / 3.00 against (home) 4.50 for / 6.50 against (away)

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. UD Leiria has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.98First seen
Current1.78Now
Max odds2.10Highest point
Min odds1.73Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight

UD Leiria – SC Farense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample224
Win Rate54.5%
Profit+7.07u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINVarnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B1.893.37%
LOSSSouth Melbourne - Auckland FC II1.843.37%
WINJadran Dekani - NK Krka1.913.37%
LOSSNorth Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin1.753.37%
LOSSCFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti1.853.37%
LOSSImisli - FK Karvan1.803.37%
WINKalmar FF - Degerfors1.953.37%
WINReal Monarchs SLC - Colorado Rapids II1.763.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz11.984.86%09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina11.932.30%10 May 19:00
Pick
1 @ 1.78
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 23d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 23d 12h ago
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