Model: TIPPSA
Lyon – Rennes
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 2
StartStarted 42d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=186
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.14% · n=68
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 42d 22h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Lyon | Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-W-D | L-W-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W (home) | L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.00 scored / 1.33 conceded | 3.00 scored / 2.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 4.60 against | 7.60 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.33 for / 5.33 against (home) | 6.67 for / 4.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Rennes has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -11.9%
7D: -13.1%
15D: -2.7%
30D: 11.3%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.21First seen
Current3.36Now
Max odds3.38Highest point
Min odds3.19Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Lyon – Rennes Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 186 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 7.14% across 68 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample29
Win Rate37.9%
Profit+7.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Australia (W) - Mexico (W) | 3.44 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Santamarina Tandil - Kimberley Mar del Plata | 3.01 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Egypt - Russia | 3.27 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Widzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice | 3.28 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
Pick
2 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=186
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.14% • n=68
Start
Started 42d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 42d 22h ago