Model: TIPPSH

UD Logrones vs CD Extremadura

PREDICTION

@ 2.45

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 31, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 8h 37m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10h 49m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UD Logrones. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UD LogronesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.118 | A: 0.215

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.40First seen

Current2.45Now

Max odds2.45Highest point

Min odds2.38Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UD LogronesHOME

CD ExtremaduraAWAY

WWLWW

Recent form

LWWDD

Avg goals scored

2.80

2.00

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.20

Shots on target for

5.80

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

4.60

Home splitW-W-L-W-W3.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-W-D2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.45. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.45

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for UD Logrones. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. UD Logrones is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 14.2% 7D: 9.2% 15D: 17.5% 30D: 8.8%

Model insight

UD Logrones – CD Extremadura Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.45. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample216

Win Rate42.6%

Profit+4.21u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Central Espanol Reserves - Club Atletico Progreso Reserves	2.51	2.49%
LOSS	Yate Town - Taunton Town	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Rushall Olympic - Alvechurch	2.39	2.49%
LOSS	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II - SV Allerheiligen	2.30	2.49%
WIN	Wollongong Wolves U20 - Manly United U20	2.65	2.49%
LOSS	BDF XI - Nico United	2.53	3.15%
WIN	Dinthar FC - Kanan FC	2.29	2.49%
LOSS	Rakow Czestochowa U19 - Miedz Legnica U19	2.63	2.49%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Halifax - Hartlepool	1	2.50	2.49%	01 Sep 20:45
Portsmouth - Derby	1	2.26	2.49%	01 Sep 20:45
Hapoel Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Kiryat Shmona	1	2.61	2.49%	05 Sep 18:45

Pick

1 @ 2.45

Kickoff

Ago 31, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.49% • n=1025

Start

Started 8h 37m ago

Updated

Updated 10h 49m ago