Model: TIPPSH

Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle

PREDICTION

@ 1.86

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 04, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 15h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12h 42m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sparta Rotterdam. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sparta RotterdamGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.007 | A: 0.007

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.85First seen

Current1.86Now

Max odds1.86Highest point

Min odds1.85Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sparta RotterdamHOME

PEC ZwolleAWAY

LDWLD

Recent form

LWLLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.40

2.20

Shots on target for

5.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

5.60

Home splitD-L-D-D-L1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L-L1.20 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.86. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eredivisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.86

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Sparta Rotterdam is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 12.4% 7D: 8.4% 15D: 17.1% 30D: 8.6%

Model insight

Sparta Rotterdam – PEC Zwolle Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample767

Win Rate50.3%

Profit-24.92u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Ballymena Utd Reserves - Dungannon Swifts Reserves	1.80	1.04%
WIN	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy - CA Sarmiento de la Banda	2.03	1.31%
LOSS	FK Iskra Danilovgrad - FK Zeta Golubovci	1.96	1.04%
WIN	Anstey Nomads - Banbury	1.75	1.31%
WIN	Bury Town - Leiston	1.95	1.04%
WIN	Toluca U21 - Juarez FC U21	1.75	1.04%
WIN	Navbahor Namangan - Nasaf Qarshi	1.89	1.04%
WIN	FC Koper U19 - NK Radomlje U19	1.99	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.86

Kickoff

Set 04, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 3d 15h

Updated

Updated 12h 42m ago