UD Logrones – Real Zaragoza

Model: TIPPSH

UD Logrones vs Real Zaragoza

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 14, 2026 9:15 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 5h 33m ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 13.35% · n=48
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 13.35% · n=48
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7h 42m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UD Logrones. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UD LogronesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.260 | A: 0.033

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

84/100
Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.68First seen
Current3.60Now
Max odds4.87Highest point
Min odds3.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UD LogronesHOME
VS
Real ZaragozaAWAY
LWWWW
Recent form
WLLWL
Avg goals scored
2.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.20
Shots on target for
4.40
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
6.00
Home splitL-W-W-W-W2.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-L-L0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.25. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 13.35% based on n=48 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.25
V2 BandELITEROI 13.35% · n=48
V4 BandELITEROI 13.35% · n=48
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, UD Logrones has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. UD Logrones has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -4.1% 7D: 10.6% 15D: 13.9% 30D: 10.3%
Model insight

UD Logrones – Real Zaragoza Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 13.35% and 13.35%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample9
Win Rate77.8%
Profit+13.32u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINStirling - Cove Rangers3.388.08%
WINRodina Moscow - Rubin Kazan3.308.08%
LOSSExeter - Bristol City3.268.08%
WINSK Olympia Rajecko - Zdar nad Sazavou3.3013.35%
WINFC Osaka Speranza (W) - Diosa Izumo (W)3.039.53%
WINEngland (W) - Spain (W)3.149.53%
WINTahiti United - Solomon Kings FC3.109.53%
WINCrystal Palace - Newcastle3.079.53%
Active Similar Predictions
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Pick
1 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Ago 14, 2026 9:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 13.35% • n=48
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
13.35% • n=48
Start
Started 5h 33m ago
Updated
Updated 7h 42m ago
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