Model: TipA1
Umeå FC – Gefle IF
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 17d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.37% · n=226
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.37% · n=226
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Umeå FC | Gefle IF |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-L-L-L | D-W-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-L (home) | D-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded | 1.67 scored / 2.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.20 for / 5.60 against | 6.40 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 5.00 against (home) | 4.67 for / 5.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Gefle IF's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.20First seen
Current3.34Now
Max odds3.34Highest point
Min odds3.20Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Umeå FC – Gefle IF Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 12.37% and 12.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample12
Win Rate25.0%
Profit-2.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | ABC - America RN | 3.20 | 12.47% |
| WIN | Gremio Novorizontino U20 - Goias U20 | 3.00 | 12.47% |
| WIN | Orsomarso (W) - Internacional de Bogota (W) | 3.00 | 12.37% |
| LOSS | Unam Pumas - Pachuca | 3.10 | 12.37% |
| LOSS | Sampaio Correa RJ - XV Piracicaba | 3.10 | 12.37% |
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC - Toluca | 3.00 | 12.37% |
| LOSS | Independiente Petrolero - Universitario De Vinto | 3.10 | 12.37% |
| LOSS | Jubilo Iwata - FC Gifu | 3.00 | 12.37% |
Pick
2 @ 3.20
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 12.37% • n=226
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
12.37% • n=226
Start
Started 17d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 11h ago