Model: TIPPSA

Gremio Novorizontino U20 vs Goias U20

PREDICTION

@ 3.12

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 19, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 2

StartStarted 54d 1h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.70% · n=151

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.70% · n=151

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 54d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Goias U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Goias U20

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

63/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.00First seen

Current3.12Now

Max odds3.12Highest point

Min odds3.00Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Gremio Novorizontino U20HOME

Goias U20AWAY

LLWLW

Recent form

WWWLD

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.00

Shots on target for

4.40

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

2.60

Home splitL-W-W1.33 scored / 0.67 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-D-W1.40 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.12. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.70% based on n=151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Brasileiro Serie B U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.12

V2 BandHIGHROI 7.70% · n=151

V4 BandHIGHROI 7.70% · n=151

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Goias U20. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 35.5% 7D: 17.6% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 0.8%

Model insight

Gremio Novorizontino U20 – Goias U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.12. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.70% and 7.70%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample12

Win Rate50.0%

Profit+6.02u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Deportivo Moquegua - AD Tarma	2.94	6.31%
LOSS	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	3.00	6.31%
LOSS	Nantes (W) - Lyon (W)	3.01	6.31%
WIN	Strasbourg (W) - Le Havre (W)	3.02	5.70%
WIN	Girona - Real Betis	3.05	6.31%
LOSS	Ipswich - Middlesbrough	2.94	6.31%
WIN	NK Osijek - NK Varazdin	3.19	6.31%
WIN	Cherno More Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2.88	5.70%

Pick

2 @ 3.12

Kickoff

Mag 19, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 7.70% • n=151

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

7.70% • n=151

Start

Started 54d 1h ago

Updated

Updated 54d 3h ago