UMF Selfoss vs Fjardabyggd
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is UMF Selfoss. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: UMF SelfossGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.05% based on n=992 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 2 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
UMF Selfoss – Fjardabyggd Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Ivory Coast U20 - Benin U20 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | GrIFK Reservi - EPS Reservi | 1.55 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Goztepe - NK Rudes | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | CD FAS Reserves - Municipal Limeno Reserves | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Noroeste - Uniao Sao Joao | 1.55 | -3.38% |
| WIN | LDU Quito (W) - Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Elfsborg (W) - Umea IK (W) | 1.67 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Macarthur Rams U20 - Hurstville FC U20 | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Nejmeh - Al Ahed | 1 | 1.57 | -3.38% | 28 Jul 16:30 |
| Cagliari - Modena | 1 | 1.65 | -1.89% | 28 Jul 17:00 |
| Valerenga - Ham-Kam | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 31 Jul 19:00 |
| St Patricks - Derry City | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 31 Jul 20:45 |