UMF Selfoss – Fjardabyggd

Model: TipTromba2H

UMF Selfoss vs Fjardabyggd

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.73
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 4
StartStarted 86d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.05% · n=992
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.05% · n=992
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 87d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UMF Selfoss. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UMF SelfossGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

17/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.84First seen
Current1.75Now
Max odds1.84Highest point
Min odds1.73Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UMF SelfossHOME
VS
FjardabyggdAWAY
LL
Recent form
W
Avg goals scored
1.50
4.00
Defensive weakness
3.00
2.00
Shots on target for
4.00
8.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.50
5.00
Home splitL2.00 scored / 4.00 conceded
Away splitW4.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.05% based on n=992 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 2 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.73
V2 BandNONEROI -1.05% · n=992
V4 BandNONEROI -1.05% · n=992
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -33.3% 7D: -3.1% 15D: -0.7% 30D: 10.5%
Model insight

UMF Selfoss – Fjardabyggd Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.73. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.05% and -1.05%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample421
Win Rate63.9%
Profit+11.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINIvory Coast U20 - Benin U201.50-3.38%
LOSSGrIFK Reservi - EPS Reservi1.55-3.82%
LOSSGoztepe - NK Rudes1.73-1.89%
WINCD FAS Reserves - Municipal Limeno Reserves1.73-3.38%
LOSSNoroeste - Uniao Sao Joao1.55-3.38%
WINLDU Quito (W) - Barcelona Guayaquil (W)1.62-1.89%
WINElfsborg (W) - Umea IK (W)1.67-3.82%
LOSSMacarthur Rams U20 - Hurstville FC U201.57-3.38%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Al Nejmeh - Al Ahed11.57-3.38%28 Jul 16:30
Cagliari - Modena11.65-1.89%28 Jul 17:00
Valerenga - Ham-Kam11.73-1.89%31 Jul 19:00
St Patricks - Derry City11.62-3.38%31 Jul 20:45
Pick
1 @ 1.73
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.05% • n=992
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.05% • n=992
Start
Started 86d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 87d 5h ago
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