Model: TipA1

Modbury Vista Reserves (W) vs Salisbury Inter Reserves (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.50

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 04, 2026 6:15 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 15h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Salisbury Inter Reserves (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Salisbury Inter Reserves (W)

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

45/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.63First seen

Current2.61Now

Max odds2.63Highest point

Min odds2.61Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Modbury Vista Reserves (W)HOME

Salisbury Inter Reserves (W)AWAY

LLLWL

Recent form

LDLDL

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.80

Defensive weakness

4.80

2.80

Shots on target for

3.40

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

10.40

7.20

Home splitL-W-L-L1.75 scored / 4.50 conceded

Away splitD-D-W-L1.25 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.50. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia SA Premier League Women Reserves (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.50

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market prices Salisbury Inter Reserves (W) as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Salisbury Inter Reserves (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 55.6% 7D: 47.0% 15D: 21.8% 30D: 5.4%

Model insight

Modbury Vista Reserves (W) – Salisbury Inter Reserves (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample164

Win Rate40.2%

Profit-2.50u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	HFX Wanderers - Atletico Ottawa	2.55	4.27%
WIN	Universidad de Concepcion - Nublense	2.50	4.27%
LOSS	Cerrado U20 - Atletico Goianiense U20	2.55	4.27%
LOSS	Piaui - Maguary PE	2.45	4.27%
LOSS	Atletico Oriente - Club Aguara	2.63	4.27%
LOSS	North Lakes United - Springfield United	2.60	4.27%
WIN	Bentleigh Greens - South Melbourne	2.25	4.27%
LOSS	Caroline Springs George Cross FC - Dandenong City	2.40	4.27%

Active Similar Predictions

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SC Kalsdorf - FC Marchfeld Donauauen	2	2.60	4.27%	03 Jul 19:00
Gold Coast Knights U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	2	2.50	4.27%	04 Jul 04:00
Argentino Quilmes - Talleres Remedios	2	2.50	4.27%	05 Jul 18:00
Odd BK - Haugesund	2	2.70	4.27%	05 Jul 19:15
Defensores Unidos - Argentino Merlo	2	2.38	4.27%	05 Jul 20:00

Pick

2 @ 2.50

Kickoff

Lug 04, 2026 6:15 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Start

Starts in 1d 15h

Updated

Updated 7m ago