Modbury Vista Reserves (W) – Salisbury Inter Reserves (W)

Model: TipA1

Modbury Vista Reserves (W) vs Salisbury Inter Reserves (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 04, 2026 6:15 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 44d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Salisbury Inter Reserves (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Salisbury Inter Reserves (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

45/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.63First seen
Current2.61Now
Max odds2.63Highest point
Min odds2.61Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Modbury Vista Reserves (W)HOME
VS
Salisbury Inter Reserves (W)AWAY
DLLLW
Recent form
DLDLD
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.60
Defensive weakness
4.00
2.40
Shots on target for
4.00
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
8.40
7.20
Home splitD-L-W-L-L1.80 scored / 4.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-D-W-L1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.50. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia SA Premier League Women Reserves (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Salisbury Inter Reserves (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 77.6% 7D: 59.6% 15D: 31.7% 30D: 11.0%
Model insight

Modbury Vista Reserves (W) – Salisbury Inter Reserves (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample245
Win Rate40.0%
Profit-4.23u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSertaozinho FC U20 - Mirassol U202.554.27%
WINShan Utd U20 - Dagon Star United U202.704.27%
WINGazalkent - Olympic Mobiuz2.384.27%
LOSSFC Vado - Inter Milan U232.354.27%
LOSSAZ Picerno ASD - Barletta2.704.27%
LOSSFC Roskilde - Middelfart2.304.27%
LOSSPerth SC - Perth RedStar FC2.634.27%
WINSantos (W) - Flamengo (W)2.554.27%
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Pick
2 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Lug 04, 2026 6:15 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151
Start
Started 44d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 8h ago
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