US Amal Tiznit – Difaa El Jadida

Model: TipTromba5H

US Amal Tiznit vs Difaa El Jadida

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 3
StartStarted 54d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.71% · n=106
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.71% · n=106
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is US Amal Tiznit. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: US Amal Tiznit

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

58/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.83First seen
Current5.24Now
Max odds5.33Highest point
Min odds4.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

US Amal TiznitHOME
VS
Difaa El JadidaAWAY
LDDLW
Recent form
WDDLW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.00
Shots on target for
1.33
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.33
3.40
Home splitL-D-W1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-W-D1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.71% based on n=106 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Morocco Cup (ma). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.71% · n=106
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.71% · n=106
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor US Amal Tiznit. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 19.2% 7D: 11.3% 15D: 3.6% 30D: 1.1%
Model insight

US Amal Tiznit – Difaa El Jadida Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.71% and 3.71%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample27
Win Rate7.4%
Profit-18.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
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WINBangkok (W) - Chonburi FA (W)4.504.05%
LOSSBoston City FC - Boston Bolts4.504.05%
LOSSInternacional de Bogota (W) - America de Cali (W)4.504.05%
LOSSHubei Istar U20 - Shanghai Shenhua U204.753.53%
LOSSThrottur Reykjavik - Breidablik4.503.87%
LOSSPolonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra4.502.22%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Boreham Wood - Watford14.753.53%11 Jul 16:00
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.71% • n=106
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.71% • n=106
Start
Started 54d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 55d 10h ago
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