US Amal Tiznit – Difaa El Jadida

Model: TipTromba5H

US Amal Tiznit – Difaa El Jadida

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 3
StartStarted 9d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.71% · n=106
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.71% · n=106
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 7h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric US Amal Tiznit Difaa El Jadida
Last 5 form L-D-D-L-W W-D-D-L-W
Avg goals scored 1.00 1.60
Avg goals conceded 1.40 1.00
Home/Away form L-D-W (home) W-D-L-W-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded 1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded
Shots on target 1.33 for / 5.33 against 4.20 for / 3.40 against
Home/Away shots on target 1.00 for / 8.00 against (home) 3.40 for / 3.20 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.83First seen
Current5.24Now
Max odds5.24Highest point
Min odds4.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

US Amal Tiznit – Difaa El Jadida Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.71% and 3.71%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample25
Win Rate8.0%
Profit-16.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBangkok (W) - Chonburi FA (W)4.504.05%
LOSSBoston City FC - Boston Bolts4.504.05%
LOSSInternacional de Bogota (W) - America de Cali (W)4.504.05%
LOSSHubei Istar U20 - Shanghai Shenhua U204.753.53%
LOSSThrottur Reykjavik - Breidablik4.503.87%
LOSSPolonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra4.502.22%
LOSSPR San Juan - Puerto Rico Surf SC4.503.87%
LOSSUsher Celtic - St Mochtas4.503.71%
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.71% • n=106
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.71% • n=106
Start
Started 9d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 7h ago
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