Model: TipTromba5H
US Amal Tiznit – Difaa El Jadida
PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 3
StartStarted 9d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.71% · n=106
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.71% · n=106
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 7h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | US Amal Tiznit | Difaa El Jadida |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-D-L-W | W-D-D-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-W (home) | W-D-L-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded | 1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 1.33 for / 5.33 against | 4.20 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.00 for / 8.00 against (home) | 3.40 for / 3.20 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.83First seen
Current5.24Now
Max odds5.24Highest point
Min odds4.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
US Amal Tiznit – Difaa El Jadida Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.71% and 3.71%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample25
Win Rate8.0%
Profit-16.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Bangkok (W) - Chonburi FA (W) | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | Boston City FC - Boston Bolts | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | Internacional de Bogota (W) - America de Cali (W) | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | Hubei Istar U20 - Shanghai Shenhua U20 | 4.75 | 3.53% |
| LOSS | Throttur Reykjavik - Breidablik | 4.50 | 3.87% |
| LOSS | Polonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra | 4.50 | 2.22% |
| LOSS | PR San Juan - Puerto Rico Surf SC | 4.50 | 3.87% |
| LOSS | Usher Celtic - St Mochtas | 4.50 | 3.71% |
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.71% • n=106
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.71% • n=106
Start
Started 9d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 7h ago