Model: TIPPSA
Valencia – Rayo Vallecano
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.51
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 14, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 12d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.78% · n=16
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.78% · n=16
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12d 13h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Valencia | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-L-W-D | D-D-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-W-L (home) | D-W-W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 1.75 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.40 for / 4.60 against | 6.00 for / 2.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.50 for / 4.00 against (home) | 4.80 for / 4.40 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Rayo Vallecano's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.00First seen
Current3.68Now
Max odds4.00Highest point
Min odds3.68Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Valencia – Rayo Vallecano Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.51. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.78% and -1.78%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample4
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-4.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Herediano - Cartagines | 3.48 | -1.78% |
| LOSS | Persis Solo - Persebaya Surabaya | 3.32 | -1.78% |
| LOSS | Brusque - Caxias RS | 3.75 | -1.79% |
| LOSS | SalPa - RoPS | 3.70 | -1.78% |
Pick
2 @ 3.51
Kickoff
Mag 14, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.78% • n=16
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.78% • n=16
Start
Started 12d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 12d 13h ago