Pau – Nancy

Model: TIPPSA

Pau vs Nancy

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.86
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 21, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 1d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nancy. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NancyGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.110 | A: 0.016

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.05First seen
Current2.90Now
Max odds3.45Highest point
Min odds2.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PauHOME
VS
NancyAWAY
LWLLL
Recent form
WLDDD
Avg goals scored
0.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
0.80
Shots on target for
2.00
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
2.00
Home splitL-L-L-L-W0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-D-D1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.86. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Ligue 2 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.86
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Nancy's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 25.7% 7D: 9.5% 15D: 2.7% 30D: 3.0%
Model insight

Pau – Nancy Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.07% across 461 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample65
Win Rate40.0%
Profit+10.85u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAl Fateh SC - Al Ittifaq Dammam2.85-1.07%
LOSSFulham - VfB Stuttgart2.94-1.07%
LOSSMold Alexandra - Holyhead Hotspur2.98-1.07%
LOSSKubikenborgs IF - Täfteå IK2.92-1.07%
LOSSMineros de Zacatecas - Venados FC3.01-1.07%
LOSSCD Derio - San Ignacio3.10-1.07%
WINFK Austria Vienna - Beitar Jerusalem2.75-1.07%
WINManta FC - Mushuc Runa2.82-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 2.86
Kickoff
Ago 21, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Start
Started 1d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 9h ago
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