Valur Reykjavik – IA Akranes

Model: TIPPSA

Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 30, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 17h 43m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19h 48m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is IA Akranes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IA AkranesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.030 | A: 0.048

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current2.75Now
Max odds2.75Highest point
Min odds2.46Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Valur ReykjavikHOME
VS
IA AkranesAWAY
DLDLW
Recent form
DDWWD
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.00
Defensive weakness
2.80
1.20
Shots on target for
7.00
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
6.60
6.00
Home splitD-D-L-L-W1.80 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-L-L2.40 scored / 3.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.75. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.75
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, IA Akranes has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -0.9% 7D: 4.2% 15D: 14.6% 30D: 8.0%
Model insight

Valur Reykjavik – IA Akranes Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.07% across 461 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample57
Win Rate42.1%
Profit+11.81u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCasa Pia - Moreirense2.85-1.07%
LOSSNK Naftas Hask - Gaj Mace2.87-1.07%
WINOH Leuven - Standard Liege2.79-1.07%
LOSSKhor Fakkan - Al Dhafra SCC2.96-1.07%
LOSSNagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama2.87-1.07%
LOSSFC Voluntari - Otelul Galati2.81-1.07%
WINEnppi - Wadi Degla2.94-1.07%
WINCancun FC - Club Atletico La Paz2.85-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 2.75
Kickoff
Ago 30, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Start
Started 17h 43m ago
Updated
Updated 19h 48m ago
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