Model: TIPPSH

Vard Haugesund vs Djerv 1919

PREDICTION

@ 1.81

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 3

StartStarted 17h 21m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 19h 25m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vard Haugesund. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Vard HaugesundGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.049 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.78First seen

Current1.81Now

Max odds1.81Highest point

Min odds1.78Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vard HaugesundHOME

Djerv 1919AWAY

LLDDL

Recent form

WWLWD

Avg goals scored

1.40

3.20

Defensive weakness

2.60

1.80

Shots on target for

8.20

6.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

4.20

Home splitL-D-L-W-W2.40 scored / 2.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-L-D1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.81. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 3 Group 3 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.81

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Vard Haugesund's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 19.5% 7D: 16.7% 15D: 6.5% 30D: 11.0%

Model insight

Vard Haugesund – Djerv 1919 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample427

Win Rate49.2%

Profit-28.07u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Fortaleza CEIF - Cucuta Deportivo	1.82	1.04%
LOSS	Atlético Tucumán - Sarmiento	1.86	1.04%
LOSS	Talleres Remedios - Argentino Merlo	1.78	1.04%
WIN	Wisla Plock II - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki	2.00	1.31%
LOSS	Benesov - Aritma Praha	2.05	1.31%
WIN	Truro City - Maidenhead Utd	2.03	1.04%
LOSS	FK Trutnov - Spartak Police Nad Metuji	2.05	1.04%
WIN	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb - HNK Gorica	1.98	1.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves	1	1.99	1.31%	05 Jul 16:00
Logan Lightning - St George Willawong FC	1	1.87	1.04%	09 Aug 08:00
Police AC - Rainbow AC	1	1.93	1.31%	09 Aug 11:30
Ehime FC - Nara Club	1	1.79	1.04%	09 Aug 12:00
Sandnes Ulf - Hodd	1	1.88	1.04%	09 Aug 17:00
Sariyer - Muglaspor	1	1.91	1.04%	09 Aug 18:00
CS Deportivo Sacachispas - Mictlán	1	2.06	1.04%	09 Aug 19:00
Universidad de Chile - Palestino	1	1.83	1.31%	10 Aug 02:00

Pick

1 @ 1.81

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 17h 21m ago

Updated

Updated 19h 25m ago